Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

NCAA tournament bubble watch time, and several teams are fighting to earn one of the 37 at-large bids. At least temporarily, with the disbandment of the Pac-12, one more at-large bid is available this year.