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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions

“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...
CNBC

Fed still expects to cut rates once this year despite spiking oil prices

The Federal Reserve's so-called dot plot showed a median estimate of 3.4% for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026, the same as what it had projected at the end of last year. However, a closer ...