Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night
His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald Trump victory by 10:30 p.m. EST.
"It isn't capturing the story of this election": Nate Silver takes down model favoring Harris
The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts
Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.
Nate Silver’s Final Election Model: ‘Quite Ridiculous’
That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds, Silver ran 80,000 election simulations using his model, which includes polls weighted in different ways, plus inputs ...
Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast
Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer than a coin flip.
Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election?
Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?
Renowned election guru Nate Silver reveals latest forecast for presidential election
Election guru Nate Silver revealed his latest forecast between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with Election Day two days away.
Nate Silver's Closest Call Yet: How 2024's Election Stands Apart From His Predictions In 2016 And 2020
Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump, based on 80,000 simulations.
Kamala Harris' Chances of Winning a Landslide, According to Nate Silver
Vice President Kamala Harris ' chances of winning seven key swing states and securing a landslide victory are 12.6 percent—nearly half the 21.4 percent likelihood of former President Donald Trump achieving the same result, according to pollster Nate Silver.
How Nate Silver Responded to Election Results
I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...
Nate Silver's final forecast: "As close as you can possibly get to 50/50"
When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...
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UPDATE: Nate Silver Takes Down Model Slightly Favoring Kamala Harris As It ‘Isn’t Capturing The Story’
Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...
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Spirit Of 2016 Posting Returns On Eve Of Election, As Woman Compares Pollsters Nate Silver And Anne Selzer To Feuding Aunt And Uncle
The spirit of 2016 Twitter returned just in time for the 2024 Presidential Election yesterday, as actress and comedian Amy ...
Election guru Nate Silver accuses pollsters of putting ‘finger on the scale,’ lying to keep presidential race close
Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some ...
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Indiana
Republican Donald Trump won the presidential election in Indiana on Tuesday. The reliably conservative state, where Republicans have held the governor's office for 20 years, gave Trump its 11 ...