election nate silver news

Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night

Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model,

USA Today on MSN · 11h

Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.

Wall Street Journal · 23h

Nate Silver’s Final Election Model: ‘Quite Ridiculous’

That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds, Silver ran 80,000 election simulations using his model, which includes polls weighted in different ways, plus inputs ...

Salon on MSN · 5h

"It isn't capturing the story of this election": Nate Silver takes down model favoring Harris

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts

New York Post on MSN · 2d

Renowned election guru Nate Silver reveals latest forecast for presidential election

Election guru Nate Silver revealed his latest forecast between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with Election Day two days away.

USA TODAY on MSN · 1d

Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election?

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?

Salon on MSN · 15h

Nate Silver's final forecast: "As close as you can possibly get to 50/50"

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris ' 50.15 percent chance of winning the superstar election handicapper's final forecast.

Benzinga.com · 18h

Nate Silver's Closest Call Yet: How 2024's Election Stands Apart From His Predictions In 2016 And 2020

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump, based on 80,000 simulations.

YAHOO!News · 17h

Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer than a coin flip.

Newsweek · 1d

Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes

Polling expert Nate Silver has issued a fresh election forecast just hours before polls open, with a new favorite to win, while the race is still neck and neck. According to Silver's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.

How Nate Silver Responded to Election Results

I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...

Election guru Nate Silver accuses pollsters of putting ‘finger on the scale,’ lying to keep presidential race close

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some ...