When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more ...

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...

I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump ...

Election guru Nate Silver revealed his latest forecast between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with Election Day two days away ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...